LOWES COMPANIES INC (LOW) Q2 2026 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 2026 delivered topline and profitability gains: revenue $24.0B (+1.7% y/y), comps +1.1%, GAAP diluted EPS $4.27 and adjusted EPS $4.33; adjusted gross margin expanded 37 bps to 33.8% and adjusted operating margin +23 bps to 14.7% .
- Raised FY25 sales outlook to $84.5–$85.5B (from $83.5–$84.5B) and introduced adjusted operating margin 12.2–12.3% and adjusted EPS $12.20–$12.45; GAAP operating margin trimmed to 12.1–12.2% with EPS $12.10–$12.35, reflecting ADG inclusion .
- Pro and DIY both contributed; average ticket +2.9% while transactions −1.8%; online sales +7.5%; July comps +4.7% on improved weather and seasonal recovery .
- Strategic catalysts: closed ADG and announced $8.8B FBM acquisition to deepen Pro planned spend, accelerate jobsite fulfillment and cross-sell, while pausing buybacks to delever; management reiterated confidence in Total Home strategy and Pro penetration .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Pro momentum and online acceleration: “We delivered positive comp sales driven by solid performance in both Pro and DIY… we grew our online sales by 7.5%” (Marvin Ellison) .
- Margin execution despite mix: Adjusted gross margin 33.8% (+37 bps y/y) and adjusted operating margin 14.7% (+23 bps y/y), aided by PPI, shrink and credit revenue improvements (CFO) .
- Strategic expansion into Pro planned spend: Closed ADG and announced FBM acquisition to create a comprehensive interior solutions platform for large Pro customers (drywall to countertops) (CEO) .
What Went Wrong
- Transactions under pressure: Comparable transactions −1.8% as DIY big-ticket discretionary remains soft; strength driven by average ticket and Pro .
- Weather headwinds early in quarter: Slower around Memorial Day due to wet/cold conditions; majority of ~$400M seasonal shift from Q1 realized, but timing impacted cadence (CFO) .
- Near-term margin drag from acquisitions: GAAP operating margin guide reduced (12.1–12.2%) and Q3 adjusted operating margin expected down ~20 bps y/y from ADG/FBM mix; buybacks paused until 2027 to meet leverage targets (CFO) .
Financial Results
Income Statement and Margins (oldest → newest)
Notes: Q2 2026 adjusted EPS excludes $43M pre-tax ADG transaction/purchase accounting costs (~$0.06 EPS). Q2 2024 had a $43M gain from Canadian business contingent consideration benefiting prior-year results .
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Category/Division Directional Comps (Q2 2026)
Guidance Changes
Q3 modeling: comps ~125 bps above bottom end of full-year guide; adjusted operating margin rate expected down ~20 bps y/y driven by ADG mix .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “This quarter, we delivered positive comp sales driven by solid performance in both Pro and DIY… our teams drove both sales growth and improved profitability” — Marvin R. Ellison, CEO .
- “Adjusted gross margin was 33.8%… improvements in both shrink and credit revenue, as well as continued benefits from our PPI initiatives” — Brandon Sink, CFO .
- “FBM… allows us to serve the large Pro planned spend within a $250 billion total addressable market and aligns perfectly with our Total Home strategy” — Marvin R. Ellison .
- “We plan to use FBM’s AI Blueprint Takeoff technology to enhance our offering at our Lowe’s store ProDesk… significantly accelerating the speed and accuracy of the estimating process” — Marvin R. Ellison .
Q&A Highlights
- Synergies and cross-sell: Management sees “meaningful” revenue synergies by plugging FBM’s core categories into Lowe’s Pro extended aisle and expanding attachment (tools, safety, fasteners) at FBM; MyFBM app and trade credit to enhance the Pro experience .
- Pricing and tariffs: Portfolio-based, dynamic pricing systems; commitment to remain price competitive; tools and relationships mitigate cost pressures; expect any cost effects to flow through second-half FIFO layers but largely offset by actions .
- Weather and cadence: Majority of the ~$400M seasonal shift from Q1 to Q2 realized; Memorial Day slower on weather; June/July strength underscores seasonal normalization .
- Guidance cadence: H2 comps implied flat to +2.5%, split evenly across Q3 and Q4; Q3 adjusted operating margin down ~20 bps y/y from ADG mix .
- Capital allocation and buybacks: $8.8B FBM funded with debt; share repurchases paused through 2026 to reach 2.75x leverage target; resume in 2027 (maintain BBB+/Baa1) .
Estimates Context
How actuals compared to S&P Global consensus:
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Notes: Q2 2026 featured EPS, revenue, and EBITDA beats versus consensus; Q3 2026 guided mix-related margin headwind despite continued top-line momentum .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution on margins and comps in a flat market supports the thesis that PPI and pricing capabilities can offset cost/mix pressures; adjusted margin expansion in Q2 validates this .
- Strategic pivot into Pro distribution (ADG + FBM) should structurally raise Pro penetration and unlock the $250B planned spend TAM, with early cross-sell and fulfillment benefits as integration progresses .
- Near-term model: Expect Q3 comps above low end and modest adjusted margin rate downtick (~20 bps) as mix normalizes; FY25 adjusted EPS introduced with sales raised, reflecting ADG inclusion .
- Capital discipline: Dividend increased to $1.20; buybacks paused to delever after FBM, targeting 2.75x leverage by 2027—EPS accretion expected first full year post-close (ex-synergies) .
- Watch catalysts: H2 Pro/online momentum, marketplace scaling, extended aisle adoption, and early FBM/ADG integration milestones (ERP, jobsite delivery, AI takeoff at ProDesk) .
- Risks: Prolonged DIY big-ticket softness, tariff/credit cost dynamics, and weather cadence can pressure transactions; management’s dynamic pricing and PPI remain key mitigants .
Appendix: Non-GAAP Adjustments
- Q2 2026 adjusted EPS excludes
$43M pre-tax ADG-related costs ($0.06 EPS); prior-year Q2 2024 benefited from a $43M gain on Canadian business contingent consideration .
Additional Data Points
- Free cash flow $3.7B in Q2; capex $495M; cash & equivalents $4.9B at Q2-end .
- Stores: 1,753 selling locations at quarter-end; inventory down $0.5B y/y to $16.3B .
All financial and qualitative statements are sourced from Lowe's Q2 2026 8-K press release, Q2 2026 earnings call transcript, related Q1/Q4 documents, and company press releases. Citations included inline.